Believe In Me, Cyber War

A Man and a Team of Girls

Back in 1964, Jim Keith took a job at an Oklahoma high school to coach boy’s basketball.  But when he arrived, the administrators changed their minds and gave his job to someone else.  Keith’s contract didn’t specify which gender he’d coach, just that he’d coach.  So they switched him to the girls.  Keith was extremely disappointed.  Who wanted to coach girls when it was the boys who played real ball?  Especially when Keith was supposed to be head coach.  Keith tried to get the promised position back, except the girls he coached had other things in store for him.  Harold Keith, Jim’s brother, wrote a novel based on what happened.  That novel was made into a movie in 2006 called Believe In Me.  

Now, we all know the plot line of sports movies: a losing underdog of a team rises up to win.  It’s predictable, right?  But we could say that of all crime shows as well—in this episode investigators discover a crime and figure out who did it!  Wow, what a shocker.  We could say it of all romantic comedies as well—in this movie a couple at odds gets together.  No way!  We could say it of lots of stories.  And yet we love these stories anyway.  Why?  

Because the characters suck us in.  Because the story tellers do such a good job with the particular details we forget we’re watching a movie or reading a book.  We forget to think about the ending.  Furthermore, the stories are often about more than just winning games.  And so we worry about these people who have become real to us and focus on their immediate situation.  At least, that’s what happens when the story tellers do a good job.

And Robert Collector, who both wrote and directed the film, did a great job with Believe In Me.  Now, I don’t know how accurate the film’s depiction of five-on-five play is; I believe the girl basketball teams of that era played six-on-six.  But that’s a niggling technical detail.  Besides, the movie isn’t about technique anyway.  It’s about a man and a group of country girls who have to face difficult obstacles, not so much on the court, but off it.  If you have girls or like sports at all, I think you’ll love this movie. 

Cyber War

I recently reviewed America The Vulnerable which explained how exposed we are as individuals, corporations, and a country to cyber crime, cyber espionage (both state and corporate), and cyber attacks.  Of all the cyber threats we face as individuals and a nation, the least likely is an all out cyber war.  But just because it’s less likely that doesn’t mean the threat isn’t real.  Especially since cyber warfare has been in use since the 1990’s.  We used cyber weapons openly in the gulf war in 2003, knocking out Iraqi air defenses.  Israel used them to own Syria’s air defenses when bombing their clandestine nuclear site in 2007.  Russia used them against Estonia in 2008 and Georgia in 2009 on a variety of targets, bringing many critical systems to a halt.  In 2010, somebody, most likely the US or Israel, developed the Stuxnet worm to sabotage the uranium enrichment facility at Natanz in Iran.  China has already conducted trial runs of cyber attacks on the US and has planted logic bombs and trap doors to activate in the future.

In Cyber War, Richard Clarke shares his insights into what cyber war is, how cyber weapons work, and how vulnerable we are as a nation.  He discusses the cyber warriors (hackers) we now employ in the US military, and how a cyber war is like and unlike other wars.  In the second half of the book, he discusses the factors that have created our current vulnerability, how to set up a defense, and what we need to think about when conducting a cyber war. 

And Clarke knows his stuff.  He worked for the State Department during the presidency of Ronald Reagan.  In 1992, President George H.W. Bush appointed him to chair the Counter-terrorism Security Group and to a seat on the United States National Security Council.  President Bill Clinton retained Clarke and in 1998 promoted him to be the national coordinator for security, infrastructure protection, and counterterrorism, the chief counterterrorism adviser on the National Security Council.  President George W. Bush kept him in the same position and later made him special adviser to the president on cyber security.    

The thing I liked most about the book is that in addition to describing cool cyber war weapons, threats, and incidents, Clarke examines answers to many critical questions.  For example, how can we set up a defense without the government becoming a 1984 nightmare?  Would arms agreements work in cyber space?  (No.)  How do you prevent a cyber war from turning into a kinetic (guns and troops) war?  How do you attack your enemy when it’s sometimes hard to know who launched the attack in the first place?  He discusses these and many more questions.

The book does have one fault.  Clarke has an obvious axe to grind with the Bush administration, and can’t help but make snide and irritating comments whenever he brings them up.  The good news is that those spots are few and far between.  If you want an excellent introduction into how cyber weapons are used and will likely be used in the future, you’ll want to read this book.

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  • Final scheduled Dark God event–Bountiful, UT

    This Saturday is the FINAL scheduled book event for Servant of a Dark God. If you’ve been wanting to chat, have me sign your book, or get a signed book for someone for Christmas, this is the one to come to. Bring friends and family who are interested. We’ll have a good time. And if you don’t want to come for me, come for the B&N bookseller whose name is Shasta Way. Now, that’s a name!

    Saturday,
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    4 pm – 6 pm
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    Gateway Shopping Plaza (just off 500 S. exit and I-15)
    340 South 500 West
    West Bountiful, UT 84087
    (801) 299-8255
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  • The man will not be able to attend LTUE this year, alas

    As I was walking past the circulation desk of the Logan library last week, a woman, who had been tracking my movements, turned, pointed at me, and made a loud complimentary exclamation. I know you’re thinking she said something about my fabulous looks or the animal magnetism that pours off me sometimes in uncontrollable waves. But no, she was not talking about that. She explained she had been in one of my presentations at LTUE last year and found it very helpful and was going to be at this year’s event. She asked if I was going again. 

    Up until a few days ago I was planning on it and had two new presentations prepared that I think are killer. But that was before I saw my daughter’s school basketball schedule. Life is short, and my time with my kids is even shorter, and so I will not be there to exude my extraordinary fantasy-boy kavorka upon the teeming masses. Alas.

    (What did you say? That wasn’t a kavorka I exuded?)

    Exclaiming Libaray Patron, who made my day, if you’re reading this, please accept my apologies.

    In the meantime, I’m hard at work on the thriller. I’ve finally nailed down the full premise and am moving into sketching out my scenes.

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  • Top 200 YA Authors of 2010, Part 2

    Okay, I’ve really got to get some writing done. But since I posted the idea of seeing which authors have the highest average checkouts per book, I now feel obligated to share it because some of those on the top 200 authors list drop off while others appear. So this one shows the authors getting the most readers per book. For more information on the lists and source of the data, please see the previous two posts.

    BTW, a number of Utahans made this list that we hadn’t seen on the others.

    1. Stephenie Meyer (3)
    2. Shannon Hale (4)
    3. Lisa Mangum (8)
    4. Jessica Day George (10)
    5. Aprilynne Pike (13)
    6. James Dashner (21)
    7. Bree Despain (32)
    8. Mette Ivie Harrison (40)
    9. M.L. Forman (52)
    10. Brandon Sanderson (64)
    11. Chris Heimerdinger (112)
    12. Julie Wright (145)
    13. Ally Condie (146)
    14. Kiersten White (151)
    15. Jack Weyland (188)

    If I’ve missed any Utah (or former Utah) authors, please let me know. Holy schnitzel, look at them all.

    EDIT: 1/16/2011 9:32 AM: Informed that Bree Despain is also a Utah author.

    EDIT: 1/18/2011 6:21 PM: Turns out Kiersten White grew up in Utah, but moved to San Diego after she married. I’m still claiming her, although I often wish I could trade subzero land for beaches and 70 degrees

    EDIT: 1/18/2011 10:20 PM: just informed that M.L. Forman is a Utah author.

    The List

    Author Times Checked Out Number of Titles Avg Check Outs per Title % Rank
    Suzanne Collins 888 3 296 2.68% 1
    Rick Riordan 989 8 124 2.98% 2
    Stephenie Meyer 529 5 106 1.60% 3
    Shannon Hale 517 6 86 1.56% 4
    J.K. Rowling 318 4 80 0.96% 5
    Cassandra Clare 309 4 77 0.93% 6
    Christopher Paolini 191 3 64 0.58% 7
    Lisa Mangum 124 2 62 0.37% 8
    P.C. Cast and Kristin Cast 393 7 56 1.19% 9
    Jessica Day George 328 6 55 0.99% 10
    Kristin Cashore 105 2 53 0.32% 11
    Cornelia Funke  51 1 51 0.15% 12
    Aprilynne Pike 101 2 51 0.30% 13
    Judy Blundell 48 1 48 0.14% 14
    John Flanagan 413 9 46 1.25% 15
    Kelley Armstrong 131 3 44 0.40% 16
    John Grisham  43 1 43 0.13% 17
    Michael Scott 165 4 41 0.50% 18
    Angie Sage 246 6 41 0.74% 19
    Maggie Stiefvater 153 4 38 0.46% 20
    James Dashner 75 2 38 0.23% 21
    Kimberly Derting 37 1 37 0.11% 22
    Frank Beddor 110 3 37 0.33% 23
    Carrie Ryan 69 2 35 0.21% 24
    Gail Carson Levine 34 1 34 0.10% 25
    Jay Asher 34 1 34 0.10% 26
    Becca Fitzpatrick 68 2 34 0.21% 27
    Libba Bray 136 4 34 0.41% 28
    Julie Berry 34 1 34 0.10% 29
    Richelle Mead 202 6 34 0.61% 30
    Elizabeth Knox 67 2 34 0.20% 31
    Bree Despain 66 2 33 0.20% 32
    James Patterson 257 8 32 0.78% 33
    Cornelia Funke 63 2 32 0.19% 34
    Lisa McMann 94 3 31 0.28% 35
    Carolyn MacCullough 31 1 31 0.09% 36
    Markus Zusak 124 4 31 0.37% 37
    Lauren Oliver 31 1 31 0.09% 38
    Emily Whitman 31 1 31 0.09% 39
    Mette Ivie Harrison 123 4 31 0.37% 40
    Ally Carter 152 5 30 0.46% 41
    Cameron Dokey 271 9 30 0.82% 42
    Jason Henderson 30 1 30 0.09% 43
    Caragh M. O’Brien 30 1 30 0.09% 44
    Scott Westerfeld 354 12 30 1.07% 45
    Carrie Jones 88 3 29 0.27% 46
    Lindsey Leavitt 29 1 29 0.09% 47
    Lois Lowry 86 3 29 0.26% 48
    Philip Pullman  57 2 29 0.17% 49
    Lauren Kate 57 2 29 0.17% 50
    Lili St. Crow 56 2 28 0.17% 51
    M.L. Forman 28 1 28 0.08% 52
    Alison Goodman 28 1 28 0.08% 53
    Marissa Doyle 55 2 28 0.17% 54
    Eoin Colfer 302 11 27 0.91% 55
    Rachel Hawkins 27 1 27 0.08% 56
    Joseph Delaney 240 9 27 0.72% 57
    Cyn Balog 26 1 26 0.08% 58
    Christine Johnson 26 1 26 0.08% 59
    Anna Godbersen 127 5 25 0.38% 60
    Shauna Cross 25 1 25 0.08% 61
    Veronica Bennett 25 1 25 0.08% 62
    Betty Smith 25 1 25 0.08% 63
    Brandon Sanderson 100 4 25 0.30% 64
    Melissa Marr 99 4 25 0.30% 65
    Tamora Pierce 634 26 24 1.91% 66
    Aubrey Mace 24 1 24 0.07% 67
    N.D. Wilson 70 3 23 0.21% 68
    Kami Garcia & Margaret Stohl 46 2 23 0.14% 69
    Lesley Livingston 68 3 23 0.21% 70
    Alex Flinn 68 3 23 0.21% 71
    Sara Shepard 181 8 23 0.55% 72
    Cinda Williams Chima 113 5 23 0.34% 73
    Melissa de la Cruz 154 7 22 0.46% 74
    Kay Cassidy 22 1 22 0.07% 75
    Louis Sachar 44 2 22 0.13% 76
    D.J. MacHale 328 15 22 0.99% 77
    Heather Brewer 108 5 22 0.33% 78
    Beth Fantaskey 43 2 22 0.13% 79
    Kimberly Pauley 43 2 22 0.13% 80
    Diana Wynne Jones 128 6 21 0.39% 81
    Herbie Brennan 106 5 21 0.32% 82
    Dia Reeves 21 1 21 0.06% 83
    Heather Hepler 21 1 21 0.06% 84
    Susanne Dunlap 21 1 21 0.06% 85
    Erica S. Perl 21 1 21 0.06% 86
    Linda Buckley-Archer 63 3 21 0.19% 87
    Lise Haines 21 1 21 0.06% 88
    Alyson Noel 188 9 21 0.57% 89
    Eva Ibbotson 41 2 21 0.12% 90
    Anne Osterlund 41 2 21 0.12% 91
    Sherrilyn Kenyon 20 1 20 0.06% 92
    Kenneth Oppel 80 4 20 0.24% 93
    story by Tohru Kai  20 1 20 0.06% 94
    M.R. Bunderson 20 1 20 0.06% 95
    Robin Palmer 59 3 20 0.18% 96
    Claudia Gray 59 3 20 0.18% 97
    Frewin Jones 155 8 19 0.47% 98
    Carl Hiaasen 58 3 19 0.17% 99
    Lisa Greenwald 19 1 19 0.06% 100
    Catherine Gilbert Murdock 76 4 19 0.23% 101
    Suzanne Harper 19 1 19 0.06% 102
    Suzanne Weyn 150 8 19 0.45% 103
    Rosalind Wiseman 18 1 18 0.05% 104
    Jen Nadol 18 1 18 0.05% 105
    Thomas W harton 18 1 18 0.05% 106
    Margaret Peterson Haddix 144 8 18 0.43% 107
    Ellen Schreiber 160 9 18 0.48% 108
    Patricia C. Wrede 158 9 18 0.48% 109
    Robin McKinley 105 6 18 0.32% 110
    Zoèe Marriott 35 2 18 0.11% 111
    Chris Heimerdinger 280 16 18 0.84% 112
    Amy Huntley 17 1 17 0.05% 113
    Rachel Ward 17 1 17 0.05% 114
    Sarwat Chadda 17 1 17 0.05% 115
    Nina Malkin 17 1 17 0.05% 116
    Chris Heimerd 17 1 17 0.05% 117
    Elizabeth Eulberg 17 1 17 0.05% 118
    Kathi Oram Peterson 17 1 17 0.05% 119
    Megan Whalen Turner 68 4 17 0.21% 120
    Chelsea M. Campbell 17 1 17 0.05% 121
    Rachel Vail 51 3 17 0.15% 122
    Becca Wilhite 34 2 17 0.10% 123
    Sarah Dessen 150 9 17 0.45% 124
    Debbie Viguie 100 6 17 0.30% 125
    Garth Nix 182 11 17 0.55% 126
    Michael Grant 49 3 16 0.15% 127
    Rachel Vincent 49 3 16 0.15% 128
    Jonathan Stroud 97 6 16 0.29% 129
    Lucy Christopher 16 1 16 0.05% 130
    Kay Lynn Mangum 48 3 16 0.14% 131
    Anna Jarzab 16 1 16 0.05% 132
    Sarah MacLean 16 1 16 0.05% 133
    Josh Berk 16 1 16 0.05% 134
    Lisa Klein 16 1 16 0.05% 135
    Jackson Pearce 16 1 16 0.05% 136
    Jacqueline Kelly 16 1 16 0.05% 137
    Caroline Goode 16 1 16 0.05% 138
    Kirby Larson 16 1 16 0.05% 139
    Lisa Shanahan 16 1 16 0.05% 140
    Katherine Applegate 16 1 16 0.05% 141
    Marthe Jocelyn 16 1 16 0.05% 142
    Ann Brashares 64 4 16 0.19% 143
    Holly Black 78 5 16 0.24% 144
    Julie Wright 31 2 16 0.09% 145
    Ally Condie 93 6 16 0.28% 146
    Juliet Marillier 31 2 16 0.09% 147
    Janet Lee Carey 46 3 15 0.14% 148
    Donita K. Paul 90 6 15 0.27% 149
    Tera Lynn Childs 45 3 15 0.14% 150
    Kiersten White 15 1 15 0.05% 151
    Jane Eagland 15 1 15 0.05% 152
    Sophie Jordan 15 1 15 0.05% 153
    Maureen Daly 15 1 15 0.05% 154
    Debbie Vguie 15 1 15 0.05% 155
    Leah Cypess 15 1 15 0.05% 156
    Jessica Brody 15 1 15 0.05% 157
    Rosie Rushton 15 1 15 0.05% 158
    Rachel Caine 134 9 15 0.40% 159
    R.D. Henham 104 7 15 0.31% 160
    Hilari Bell 178 12 15 0.54% 161
    L.J. Smith 326 22 15 0.98% 162
    Carol Lynch Williams 44 3 15 0.13% 163
    Laini Taylor 44 3 15 0.13% 164
    John Boyne 29 2 15 0.09% 165
    Victoria Hanley 58 4 15 0.17% 166
    Guillaume Prevost 43 3 14 0.13% 167
    Michelle Zink 28 2 14 0.08% 168
    Andrea R. Cremer 14 1 14 0.04% 169
    Lynn Weingarten 14 1 14 0.04% 170
    Kristopher Reisz 14 1 14 0.04% 171
    Andrew Klavan 28 2 14 0.08% 172
    Jessica Verday 14 1 14 0.04% 173
    Kim Harrison 14 1 14 0.04% 174
    L.K. Madigan 14 1 14 0.04% 175
    Heather Davis 14 1 14 0.04% 176
    Lauren Conrad 42 3 14 0.13% 177
    Sherman Ale 14 1 14 0.04% 178
    Alexandra Adornetto 14 1 14 0.04% 179
    Martine Leavitt 14 1 14 0.04% 180
    Morris Gleitzman 14 1 14 0.04% 181
    Charmian Hussey  14 1 14 0.04% 182
    Douglas Rees 14 1 14 0.04% 183
    Stephanie Hem 14 1 14 0.04% 184
    C.J. Omololu 14 1 14 0.04% 185
    Aimee Friedman 42 3 14 0.13% 186
    Kate Coombs 28 2 14 0.08% 187
    Jack Weyland 151 11 14 0.46% 188
    Michael Carroll 41 3 14 0.12% 189
    Philip Caveney 41 3 14 0.12% 190
    Pamela Wells 27 2 14 0.08% 191
    Grace Cavendish 27 2 14 0.08% 192
    Elizabeth Scott 54 4 14 0.16% 193
    Ridley Pearson 54 4 14 0.16% 194
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    E.E. Richardson 13 1 13 0.04% 213
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    Lisa M. Klein 13 1 13 0.04% 221
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    Cory Doctorow 25 2 13 0.08% 224
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  • Drovers Update: second draft finished up to climax!

    I  have been making progress on my next novel. Today, I revised the second draft up to the climax. Tomorrow, I get into it. It’s going to be an awesome battle with lots of heroics. Can’t wait. You’ll notice the progress meter. I thought the book would be 35k. A quickie. But it’s probably going to end up at 60k. Almost twice as long, but still the shortest novel I’ve ever written.

    You can see some of the images I’ve been gathering for this on Pinterest.

    The thing that’s eluding me at this point is the name of the series itself.

     

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  • CONduit report & some interesting numbers

    CONduit is a conference for speculative fiction writers. This year’s conference was great. I was able to see and talk to a bunch of writer friends (Dave Wolverton, Dan Wells, Brandon Sanderson, Howard & Sandra Tayler, Eric James Stone, Ami Chopine, Darren Egget, Skipper Ritchotte, Mette Harrison), make some new ones (Lee Modesitt, James Dashner, Julie Wright, Aprilynne Pike, Larry Correia), plus chat with a multitude of others who are trying to break in. I also got to record with the Dragon Crawlers Radio guys. Nothing better than spending a weekend with a swarm of friendly and talented folks.

    I’m amazed at the success some of these people are having:

    • Aprilynne Pike had an initial print run of 200,000 hardback copies and was #1 on the NY Times Best Seller list.
    • James Dashner is going to be one of the main events from Random House this fall. I’m expecting an equally large print of his Maze Runner.
    • Brandon Sanderson just signed a contract that was announced on Publisher’s Lunch for somewhere around 2.5 million for four books. Folks, this is amazingly large for our genre.

    Of course, we already know Dave Wolverton and Lee Modesitt are some of the biggest sellers for Tor. Dan Wells is going to be big as well. And the Taylers have already got tens of thousands who read them regularly. They threw a great release party at this con.

    Larry Correia has had some interesting success as well and came at it from a side alley. He self-published Monster Hunters International. He sold a few thousand copies (no mean feat, especially for a self-published book), with many of the readers coming from the armed forces in Afganistan and Iraq. The book was so good the owner of a large independent store in Minnesota, Uncle Hugo’s, called the editor of Baen Books up and told her that she was an idiot if she didn’t buy Larry’s book because he could sell the heck out of it. So she took a look, agreed, and Larry’s now under contract with a real publisher. It’s coming out in July.

    In one conversation I learned the following about the Science Fiction & Fantasy genre.

    • 4,000 hardback copies for a title in a year is the rough break even point for Tor. You sell more than that, you’re okay. You sell less and Tor might have to drop you.
    • 10,000 hardback copies would be considered a very good seller.
    • 15,000 – 30,000 hardback copies and you are hitting the top of the midlist
    • Robert Jordan sold around 600,000 of each of his titles in hardback.
    • Depending on the time of year, 4,000 – 5,000 hardbacks sold in a week will put you in the top ten, even the top three, on the NY Times bestseller list.

    As for me, I printed up some posters and book marks using Swanland’s art. The cover got a great reaction there. And that’s huge for me because, looking at that Gallup Poll blog I wrote, the cover is going to drive a lot of sales for a new author. I had a wonderful time giving my workshop. And I think I finally figured out which part of my novel I can use for readers. Oh, and if you get a chance to hear Eric James Stone read any of his short stories, take it. I’ve listened to him twice now and both have been well worth the 20 minutes.

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4 Comments

  1. Wow! Thank you. You have put an incredible amount of time into analyzing and teaching about writing. It’s been so helpful. I really appreciate your willingness to share.

    Over the past few months I’ve been reading and collecting books from your lists of most helpful and useful. Every one is packed with good info. I wish I’d seen the list before I started buying books on writing–I could have saved some money.:)

    Thanks again!

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